The recent tour of South Africa, most noticeably the last two tests has left Cricket Australia with a migraine-sized headache and some massive decisions about the future direction of our national side.
Once the dominant force in world cricket, Australia now risks losing its position as one of the top test sides and now faces an uphill battle to play in their third straight Test World Championship Final.
The big challenge for the men in charge of Cricket Australia is where to we go from here?
It is easy to blame the form of players like Nic Maddison or Marnus Labuschagne or blame captain Pat Cummins for bowling after winning the toss however Australia’s woes run much deeper than individual performances.
Legendary rugby league coach Jack Gibson famously had the belief that winning starts at the front office which is a philosophy that Cricket Australia would do well to consider.
Following this philosophy the investigation should start with the selectors as Chairman of Selectors George Bailey and his panel must accept a portion of the blame for the team’s recent woes. Rather than ask why certain players are not scoring runs the more imperative question should be why they are continually being selected.
While loyalty is to be commended Bailey and his panels have made several dubious calls during their tenure, and persisting with players who are so out of form raises some serious concerns about the panel and the direction they are sending Australian cricket.
Australia cannot afford to keep picking players on form alone.
The next worry facing our Test team is the fact that our team is an aging team. In the first Test against South Africa our average age was 34 years of age and was the first time in Australian Test history every player in the side was aged in their 30’s.
Our frontline bowling attack, as well as the frontline replacements, are not getting any younger.
Throw in the fact that champion batter Steve Smith is reaching the end of his remarkable career and the next 12-18 months could see a major changing of the guard for the Baggy Greens.
This brings into question of whether our selection panel has any sort of succession plan.
Nathan Lyon’s recent performances have also been a major concern as for the last decade Australia has relied on Lyon’s consistency but his failure to make an impact on a turning pitch in our most recent loss should bring into light the Country’s spin bowling stocks and who is ready to take his mantle as the team’s next long term spinning option.
Nobody is suggesting that we simply write off our champions because of age, but we do not want to go back to the mid 80’s where we had the nucleus of our side retire and no one to step up to their place.
The warning signs are there but is Cricket Australia aware of this and ready to act.
Australia’s upcoming four-test home series against New Zealand presents the selectors with the ideal opportunity to start the succession plan and although the temptation is to stick with the familiar faces and hope experience prevails Australia need more than a short-term solution. It needs a vision for the future.
I would be prepared to take a risk and punt on giving some of the next generation an opportunity to prove themselves at Test level.
Sam Konstas deserves another opportunity at the top of the order partnering Queenslander Matt Renshaw.
Steve Smith would move to first drop, giving that number three position some solidity and some experience while I would then continue to give Cameron Green time to cement the number four position.
At number five I would take the punt on young Queenslander Jack Clayton, hoping he can continue his Shield form at the next level while I would drop Travis Head to number six with Alex Cary at Seven.
I would keep Cooper Connelly, Josh Inglis, and new addition Ollie Davies around the squad to make sure that if we do not to look outside the starting 11, we have some ready replacements.
The established pace attack would keep their spots for the opening Test, but nobody should be guaranteed a spot.
Queensland’s paceman Xavier Bartlett and young gun Jem Ryan, New South Welshman Jack Edwards would join the squad while Brendan Doggett would come back into contention.
The spin bowling position also needs to be open to discussion.
Mitch Swepson, Matt kuhnemann and Todd Murphy should all be looked at as possible long-term replacements to Nathan Lyon as selectors should be rewarding Sheffield Shield form rather than rely on experience and reputation.
There will of course be the risks that comes with selecting young players and they may have a poor innings and the occasionally failure, but I feel the Australian sporting public would be more sympathetic to a young gun failing than someone negating the end of their career. The fans just want to see a definite plan in place.
The players and selectors are not the only ones feeling the heat, the pressure should also be mounting on coach Andrew McDonald.
McDonald has enjoyed some success during his tenure but their recent efforts against Bangladesh and South Africa should see his position come into question.
The coach needs to find a way to restore consistency, confidence and accountability in the playing group as Australia’s demanding up-coming schedule, with a home series against New Zealand followed by an away series against India, will test the coach’s ability to manage workloads, develop the young players and maintain standards.
McDonald and Bailey need to show that over this period they have a clear strategy for the future rather than just sit and hope that our tried and tested will continue to get Australia through.
Australia has been blessed with some extraordinary players over the past decade, but every great sporting dynasty must come to an end.
The challenge is recognising when change is necessary and acting before it is too late.
This summer should be the beginning of a new chapter for Australian cricket, although no one is expecting a champion to emerge overnight, but the public deserve to know that the people running the national team have a plan for the future.
George Bailey, Andrew McDonald, and Cricket Australia have one important decision to make.
The greatest danger for Australia is not losing a Test series; it is not recognising when it is time for a change.